Note t… SYDNEY, Feb 18 (Reuters) - Australia said on Tuesday its 2019/2020 wheat harvest was the lowest in 12 years, missing its forecast, as a severe drought across the east coast wilted crops. In Australia, we are not foreign to the word ‘drought’, but some of us may not be as familiar with the term ‘desertification’. Lower wheat exports are also likely to hurt Australia’s stuttering economy, although the impact on the country’s biggest listed bulk grain handler, GrainCorp Ltd, will softened by a derivative contract that supports its earnings during times of severe drought. There will still likely be rain, but the chance of the heavy, widespread, drought-breaking rain in the next three months is slim. This is a news collection page on drought and rain in Australia. The drought in Australia is killing fish, wildlife as well as communities. Australia’s position on the globe is one reason we are at risk of drought as we sit in what is called a high-pressure belt. GrainCorp will have to pay out when seasonal conditions are good. Payments will be capped at A$80 million a year. Air moves around the Earth in fairly regular patterns. "The general picture across the Murray-Darling Basin, for droughts lasting two to three years, this is the most severe we've now seen in terms of the rainfall totals and probably also in terms of the general runoff into dams," he said.Conditions in the southern basin are significantly less severe than in the north. Karl Braganza, Australian Bureau of Meteorology. January 9, 2019 2.12pm EST. Posted on December 6, 2019 by tonyheller. ': Biden slams Trump over alleged war dead commentsLive: Arrests made as hundreds gather at Melbourne anti-lockdown protestWhy aren't we seeing Europe lock down again in the face of another COVID-19 wave?Victoria 'on the winning stretch' but driving infections down 'hard yakka', Sutton saysSteve was about to buy his first home when hackers robbed him of $90k'Who the heck does he think he is? "The Indian Ocean continues to be so, we are currently on the verge of Over the past few decades, southern cool season rainfall has been declining. "Unfortunately, for a lot of Australia, in the next three months it's not the time of year that droughts are likely to break. The effects of the drought were exacerbated by Australia's (then) second hottest year on record in 2009, with record-breaking heatwaves in January, February and the second half of the year.Australia's weather pattern transitioned rapidly to a wet La Niña pattern during autumn, resulting in record-breaking rains in the Murray-Darling Basin and well above average rainfall across the south-east. The rainfall dramatically increased surface water storage and soil moisture, effectively ending the drought in the south-east. For the latest information on the effects of drought into 2019–20 see ABARES Farm Survey, Weekly Climate and Australian Crop reports. Below average July rainfall for southern Australia sees little rainfall deficiency relief . "Certainly there is significant variability in our climate system but it does appear, as we might have expected, that cool season drying in southern Australia is probably exacerbating the drought in some areas," Dr Jones said.Due to climate change, mean temperatures in Australia have gone up by just over one degree Celsius since the BOM started keeping records in 1910. Australia is among the world’s top 10 exporters of the grain, which typically contributes about 2% to the country’s gross domestic product. "We also know high temperatures add to the drought stress. Historical climatic records are now sufficiently reliable to profile climate variability taking into account expectations for regions.The worst droughts to affect the country occurred in the 21st century—between the years 2003 to 2012, and 2017 to current. "If you look in southern Victoria, for example, the stand-out drought is clearly still the Millennium drought," Dr Jones said.Going back further into the paleo record there have been bad droughts, but Dr Jones said you could not really compare those prehistorical droughts. Measuring the effects of climate variability on farm profits The effects of climate on farms are complex and can vary greatly across locations and farm types. WHY IS AUSTRALIA VULNERABLE? Specifically, drought in Australia is defined in relation to a rainfall deficiency of pastoral leasesand is determined by decile analysis applied to a certain area. Every drought is different, but when it comes to the current drought conditions across the Murray-Darling Basin, BOM says it is now "the most severe in 120 years of records". "Certainly this is about as bad as it has got in our records. If it's hot and dry it's worse," he said.If you are looking for a happy ending this would be a good time to To ease the conditions, but not even break the drought, Dr Jones said "we need to get, in some places, record high rainfall for the next three months — just to provide some measure of relief". ... during the prolonged Federation Drought. But with harvesting now complete, the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) said production totalled 15.17 million tonnes - the lowest since 2008. There had been a number of years of below average rainfall across most of Australia before the drought. Australia’s position on the globe is one reason we are at risk of drought as we sit in what is called a high-pressure belt. Daytime maximum temperatures were the warmest on record for NSW and Victoria, and second-warmest for South Australia, the Northern Territory and Australia as a whole.Persistent dry conditions through winter are typically associated with low soil moisture and heatwaves in the following spring and summer, and 2018 followed this pattern — with the added contribution of a warming climate. Every drought is different, but when it comes to the current drought conditions across the Murray-Darling Basin, BOM says it is now "the most severe in 120 years of records". More than 80 per cent of Australia gets less than 600mm of rain a year. "The current outlook is not good.


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